| What
is the commonality of the "best minds" listed above?
The
recurring theme of the best minds is that they are independent
thinkers who do not need their opinions to be endorsed by
the crowd. While this independence has given them great insight
and placed them at the top of their respective disciplines,
it presents a challenge to the learner in that at times their
opinions are polar opposites from each other. Because we live
in a time when we are encouraged to follow rather than think,
this may prove frustrating. However, for those who seek excellence,
it will sharpen their knowledge and resolve. Based on historical
study, critical thinking will become increasingly more important
as market turbulence picks up.
Since
I cannot possibly expound on all those listed among the best
minds in this response, I will instead focus on the similarities
of two independent minds from different eras.
Benoit
Mandelbrot - Dr. Mandelbrot will go down in history
as one of the greatest math minds of the twentieth century.
His greatest contribution to the field of mathematics is in
fractal geometry. In his latest book, The
(Mis)behavior of Markets, he tells of when his
father, during the German occupation of France in World War
II, escaped from a prison camp due to the efforts of Resistance
fighters. After the mass of prisoners had gone down the road
about a half a kilometer, Mandelbrot's father decided to break
away and go it alone through the forest. Shortly after entering
the forest he heard a German Stuka dive-bomber strafe the
party on the road. He alone escaped harm. "It was,"recalled
the son, "the way my father behaved throughout his life.
He as an independent man and so am I. " He elaborated
further on his independence, at age 80, with the following
statement. " I have been a lone rider so often and for
so long, that I am not even bothered by it any more."
Robert Rhea -
Rhea was editor of the Wall Street Journal during the Great
Depression. While all of us may agree with the "buy low,
sell high" logic, few can boast of a call as famous as
Rhea's. He wrote that he believed that the great bear market
had ended on July 8, 1932. The market had bottomed only 12
days prior. Naturally few listened. Again arguing that the
markets had turned up, he wrote the following in the Wall
street Journal on May 17, 1933. "The primary objective
of these letters is to encourage readers to learn to recognize
the voice of the averages; to become their own oracles, and
to learn to ignore the unorthodox and misleading explanations
of Dow's theory written by men, either too lazy, or who lack
the mentality, to master a simple subject."
On April 23, 2005
I was privileged to hear, a legend in the investment business
that has followed in Rhea's footsteps, Richard Russell.
At age 80 he is still writing his comments on the markets
after almost a half a century. He also criticized those today
who would critique Dow's theory without first reading the
historical writings of Hamilton, Rhea, and Schaeffer on Dow's
original work. Listening to Mr. Russell talk on the future
of our markets and field questions by numerous individuals,
never backing down on his opinion, inspires me to continue
to read and learn and speak out for what I believe.

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